Weathercasters can predict the next rain storm or cloudy day, and climate scientists can build models that show the Earth’s climate change over thousands of years. But what about short-term climate prediction over the next few decades?
Jagadish Shukla, who was a member of and lead author for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change that, along with Al Gore, was awarded the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize, has been studying short-term climate predictability for many years.
Shukla researches the predictability of climate for seasons to decades. Because not much research has been done on decadal variations, Shukla believes this short-term climate variability becomes important when looking at climate change. He says it can help determine which climate variables are natural and which are human-induced.
Visit the Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies site for more information.